Match predictions › Group L · Matchday 1
England vs Croatia — prediction & preview
- Kick-off: Wed 17 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTC
- Stage: Group L, matchday 1 · FIFA World Cup 2026
The SeerPlay AI verdict
Our model makes England the favourite at 58% — the win/draw/win split is England 58%, draw 25%, Croatia 17%, and the single most likely scoreline is England 1–0 Croatia. The model weighs each side’s Elo rating and tournament form, then runs a Poisson simulation over every scoreline.
Full time: England 4–2 Croatia. The AI’s pre-match call was correct.
Result updated 2026-07-14.
Your questions, answered
Who will win England vs Croatia?
SeerPlay’s AI model makes England the favourite at 58% — England 58%, draw 25%, Croatia 17%. See every forecast on our match predictions page.
What is the most likely score?
The model’s most likely scoreline is England 1–0 Croatia.
When does it kick off?
Wed 17 Jun 2026, 20:00 UTC — see the full schedule in your timezone.
More: Group L predictions · England fixtures & squad · Croatia fixtures & squad · every match previewed