Match predictions › Semi-finals
France vs Spain — prediction & preview
- Kick-off: Tue 14 Jul 2026, 19:00 UTC
- Stage: Semi-finals · FIFA World Cup 2026
The SeerPlay AI verdict
Our model makes Spain the favourite at 58% — the win/draw/win split is France 16%, draw 26%, Spain 58%, and the single most likely scoreline is France 0–1 Spain. The model weighs each side’s Elo rating and tournament form, then runs a Poisson simulation over every scoreline.
Your questions, answered
Who will win France vs Spain?
SeerPlay’s AI model makes Spain the favourite at 58% — France 16%, draw 26%, Spain 58%. See every forecast on our match predictions page.
What is the most likely score?
The model’s most likely scoreline is France 0–1 Spain.
When does it kick off?
Tue 14 Jul 2026, 19:00 UTC — see the full schedule in your timezone.
More: France fixtures & squad · Spain fixtures & squad · every match previewed