Match predictions › Group F · Matchday 3
Japan vs Sweden — prediction & preview
- Kick-off: Thu 25 Jun 2026, 23:00 UTC
- Stage: Group F, matchday 3 · FIFA World Cup 2026
The SeerPlay AI verdict
Our model makes Japan the favourite at 49% — the win/draw/win split is Japan 49%, draw 28%, Sweden 23%, and the single most likely scoreline is Japan 1–0 Sweden. The model weighs each side’s Elo rating and tournament form, then runs a Poisson simulation over every scoreline.
Full time: Japan 1–1 Sweden. The AI’s call did not land this time.
Result updated 2026-07-14.
Your questions, answered
Who will win Japan vs Sweden?
SeerPlay’s AI model makes Japan the favourite at 49% — Japan 49%, draw 28%, Sweden 23%. See every forecast on our match predictions page.
What is the most likely score?
The model’s most likely scoreline is Japan 1–0 Sweden.
When does it kick off?
Thu 25 Jun 2026, 23:00 UTC — see the full schedule in your timezone.
More: Group F predictions · Japan fixtures & squad · Sweden fixtures & squad · every match previewed