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Mexico vs England — prediction & preview

Mexico flagMexicovsEngland flagEngland

The SeerPlay AI verdict

9%21%70%
Mexico winDrawEngland win

Our model makes England the favourite at 70% — the win/draw/win split is Mexico 9%, draw 21%, England 70%, and the single most likely scoreline is Mexico 0–2 England. The model weighs each side’s Elo rating and tournament form, then runs a Poisson simulation over every scoreline.

AI called it

Full time: Mexico 2–3 England. The AI’s pre-match call was correct.

Result updated 2026-07-14.

Your questions, answered

Who will win Mexico vs England?
SeerPlay’s AI model makes England the favourite at 70% — Mexico 9%, draw 21%, England 70%. See every forecast on our match predictions page.

What is the most likely score?
The model’s most likely scoreline is Mexico 0–2 England.

When does it kick off?
Mon 06 Jul 2026, 01:00 UTC — see the full schedule in your timezone.

More: Mexico fixtures & squad · England fixtures & squad · every match previewed