Match predictions › Round of 32

Portugal vs Croatia — prediction & preview

Portugal flagPortugalvsCroatia flagCroatia

The SeerPlay AI verdict

45%28%27%
Portugal winDrawCroatia win

Our model makes Portugal the favourite at 45% — the win/draw/win split is Portugal 45%, draw 28%, Croatia 27%, and the single most likely scoreline is Portugal 1–0 Croatia. The model weighs each side’s Elo rating and tournament form, then runs a Poisson simulation over every scoreline.

AI called it

Full time: Portugal 2–1 Croatia. The AI’s pre-match call was correct.

Result updated 2026-07-14.

Your questions, answered

Who will win Portugal vs Croatia?
SeerPlay’s AI model makes Portugal the favourite at 45% — Portugal 45%, draw 28%, Croatia 27%. See every forecast on our match predictions page.

What is the most likely score?
The model’s most likely scoreline is Portugal 1–0 Croatia.

When does it kick off?
Thu 02 Jul 2026, 23:00 UTC — see the full schedule in your timezone.

More: Portugal fixtures & squad · Croatia fixtures & squad · every match previewed