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Senegal vs Iraq — prediction & preview

Senegal flagSenegalvsIraq flagIraq

The SeerPlay AI verdict

72%20%8%
Senegal winDrawIraq win

Our model makes Senegal the favourite at 72% — the win/draw/win split is Senegal 72%, draw 20%, Iraq 8%, and the single most likely scoreline is Senegal 2–0 Iraq. The model weighs each side’s Elo rating and tournament form, then runs a Poisson simulation over every scoreline.

AI called it

Full time: Senegal 5–0 Iraq. The AI’s pre-match call was correct.

Result updated 2026-07-14.

Your questions, answered

Who will win Senegal vs Iraq?
SeerPlay’s AI model makes Senegal the favourite at 72% — Senegal 72%, draw 20%, Iraq 8%. See every forecast on our match predictions page.

What is the most likely score?
The model’s most likely scoreline is Senegal 2–0 Iraq.

When does it kick off?
Fri 26 Jun 2026, 19:00 UTC — see the full schedule in your timezone.

More: Group I predictions · Senegal fixtures & squad · Iraq fixtures & squad · every match previewed