Match predictions › Group D · Matchday 1

United States vs Paraguay — prediction & preview

United States flagUnited StatesvsParaguay flagParaguay

The SeerPlay AI verdict

56%26%18%
United States winDrawParaguay win

Our model makes United States the favourite at 56% — the win/draw/win split is United States 56%, draw 26%, Paraguay 18%, and the single most likely scoreline is United States 1–0 Paraguay. The model weighs each side’s Elo rating and tournament form, then runs a Poisson simulation over every scoreline.

AI called it

Full time: United States 4–1 Paraguay. The AI’s pre-match call was correct.

Result updated 2026-07-14.

Your questions, answered

Who will win United States vs Paraguay?
SeerPlay’s AI model makes United States the favourite at 56% — United States 56%, draw 26%, Paraguay 18%. See every forecast on our match predictions page.

What is the most likely score?
The model’s most likely scoreline is United States 1–0 Paraguay.

When does it kick off?
Sat 13 Jun 2026, 01:00 UTC — see the full schedule in your timezone.

More: Group D predictions · United States fixtures & squad · Paraguay fixtures & squad · every match previewed