Match predictions › Group H · Matchday 3

Uruguay vs Spain — prediction & preview

Uruguay flagUruguayvsSpain flagSpain

The SeerPlay AI verdict

2%11%87%
Uruguay winDrawSpain win

Our model makes Spain the favourite at 87% — the win/draw/win split is Uruguay 2%, draw 11%, Spain 87%, and the single most likely scoreline is Uruguay 0–2 Spain. The model weighs each side’s Elo rating and tournament form, then runs a Poisson simulation over every scoreline.

AI called it

Full time: Uruguay 0–1 Spain. The AI’s pre-match call was correct.

Result updated 2026-07-14.

Your questions, answered

Who will win Uruguay vs Spain?
SeerPlay’s AI model makes Spain the favourite at 87% — Uruguay 2%, draw 11%, Spain 87%. See every forecast on our match predictions page.

What is the most likely score?
The model’s most likely scoreline is Uruguay 0–2 Spain.

When does it kick off?
Sat 27 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTC — see the full schedule in your timezone.

More: Group H predictions · Uruguay fixtures & squad · Spain fixtures & squad · every match previewed