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Who will win the Super Bowl?

Q: Who is the favourite to win the Super Bowl?

San Francisco 49ers, at 19% in the SeerPlay AI's season forecast as of November 9, 2026, ahead of Buffalo Bills at 18% and Minnesota Vikings at 11%.

Q: How are these Super Bowl predictions calculated?

The results so far are kept as they are. Every remaining game is then played out 20,000 times on the same model that prices each game on SeerPlay, the standings are seeded into the 14-team playoff bracket, and the bracket is played to a champion. A team's percentage is the share of those simulated seasons in which it happened.

Q: How often do the numbers change?

The simulation is re-run every week once the week's results are in, so a win or a loss moves a team's chances by the next run. The date of the run is shown on this page.

Q: Are these betting odds?

No. They are a model's probabilities, published so anyone can check them against what happens. SeerPlay is a free prediction game. No betting, no deposits, nothing to buy.

San Francisco 49ers lead the SeerPlay AI's forecast for the 2026 season at 19%, ahead of Buffalo Bills at 18% and Minnesota Vikings at 11%. The rest of the season was simulated 20,000 times on November 9, 2026. Think it has a team wrong? Call the games yourself on the NFL Predictor.

Super Bowl chances, all 32 teams

1San Francisco 49ers7-1 · 34% to reach it19%

2Buffalo Bills7-1 · 31% to reach it18%

3Minnesota Vikings6-2 · 22% to reach it11%

4Denver Broncos7-2 · 20% to reach it11%

5Chicago Bears7-2 · 15% to reach it7%

6Jacksonville Jaguars6-2 · 15% to reach it7%

7Detroit Lions6-2 · 13% to reach it6%

8Cincinnati Bengals6-2 · 10% to reach it5%

9Kansas City Chiefs6-2 · 9% to reach it4%

10Pittsburgh Steelers6-2 · 9% to reach it4%

11New England Patriots5-4 · 6% to reach it3%

12Green Bay Packers6-3 · 6% to reach it3%

13Seattle Seahawks5-4 · 3% to reach it1%

14Los Angeles Rams5-4 · 2% to reach it<1%

15New York Giants5-3-1 · 3% to reach it<1%

16Tampa Bay Buccaneers3-6 · 1% to reach it<1%

17Cleveland Browns5-4 · <1% to reach it<1%

18Carolina Panthers3-5 · <1% to reach it<1%

19Dallas Cowboys4-5 · <1% to reach it<1%

20Atlanta Falcons3-6 · <1% to reach it<1%

21New Orleans Saints3-5 · <1% to reach it<1%

22Baltimore Ravens4-5 · <1% to reach it<1%

23Las Vegas Raiders4-5 · <1% to reach it<1%

24Washington Commanders3-5-1 · <1% to reach it<1%

25Houston Texans3-5 · <1% to reach it<1%

26Indianapolis Colts2-7 · <1% to reach it0%

27Philadelphia Eagles2-7 · <1% to reach it0%

28Arizona Cardinals3-6 · 0% to reach it0%

29Los Angeles Chargers0-8 · 0% to reach it0%

30Miami Dolphins1-7 · 0% to reach it0%

31New York Jets2-7 · 0% to reach it0%

32Tennessee Titans1-7 · 0% to reach it0%

The large number is each team's chance of winning the Super Bowl. "To reach it" is its chance of winning its conference.

AFC playoff picture

Seven teams from each conference make the playoffs: four division winners and three wild cards. Ordered by each team's chance of getting in.

Jacksonville JaguarsAFC South · 6-2 · 99% to win the division>99%

Buffalo BillsAFC East · 7-1 · 91% to win the division>99%

Denver BroncosAFC West · 7-2 · 68% to win the division98%

Cincinnati BengalsAFC North · 6-2 · 51% to win the division93%

Pittsburgh SteelersAFC North · 6-2 · 44% to win the division93%

Kansas City ChiefsAFC West · 6-2 · 31% to win the division93%

New England PatriotsAFC East · 5-4 · 9% to win the division71%

Cleveland BrownsAFC North · 5-4 · 4% to win the division34%

Baltimore RavensAFC North · 4-5 · <1% to win the division8%

Las Vegas RaidersAFC West · 4-5 · <1% to win the division7%

Houston TexansAFC South · 3-5 · 1% to win the division5%

Indianapolis ColtsAFC South · 2-7 · <1% to win the division<1%

New York JetsAFC East · 2-7 · 0% to win the division<1%

Tennessee TitansAFC South · 1-7 · <1% to win the division<1%

Miami DolphinsAFC East · 1-7 · 0% to win the division<1%

Los Angeles ChargersAFC West · 0-8 · 0% to win the division0%

NFC playoff picture

Seven teams from each conference make the playoffs: four division winners and three wild cards. Ordered by each team's chance of getting in.

San Francisco 49ersNFC West · 7-1 · 95% to win the division>99%

Minnesota VikingsNFC North · 6-2 · 45% to win the division93%

Chicago BearsNFC North · 7-2 · 22% to win the division87%

Detroit LionsNFC North · 6-2 · 27% to win the division86%

New York GiantsNFC East · 5-3-1 · 82% to win the division82%

Green Bay PackersNFC North · 6-3 · 7% to win the division61%

Seattle SeahawksNFC West · 5-4 · 4% to win the division42%

Tampa Bay BuccaneersNFC South · 3-6 · 39% to win the division39%

Carolina PanthersNFC South · 3-5 · 31% to win the division31%

Los Angeles RamsNFC West · 5-4 · 1% to win the division28%

New Orleans SaintsNFC South · 3-5 · 18% to win the division18%

Dallas CowboysNFC East · 4-5 · 13% to win the division14%

Atlanta FalconsNFC South · 3-6 · 12% to win the division12%

Washington CommandersNFC East · 3-5-1 · 5% to win the division5%

Arizona CardinalsNFC West · 3-6 · <1% to win the division<1%

Philadelphia EaglesNFC East · 2-7 · <1% to win the division<1%

Super Bowl predictions: quick answers

Who is the favourite to win the Super Bowl?

San Francisco 49ers, at 19% in the SeerPlay AI's season forecast as of November 9, 2026, ahead of Buffalo Bills at 18% and Minnesota Vikings at 11%.

How are these Super Bowl predictions calculated?

The results so far are kept as they are. Every remaining game is then played out 20,000 times on the same model that prices each game on SeerPlay, the standings are seeded into the 14-team playoff bracket, and the bracket is played to a champion. A team's percentage is the share of those simulated seasons in which it happened.

How often do the numbers change?

The simulation is re-run every week once the week's results are in, so a win or a loss moves a team's chances by the next run. The date of the run is shown on this page.

Are these betting odds?

No. They are a model's probabilities, published so anyone can check them against what happens. SeerPlay is a free prediction game. No betting, no deposits, nothing to buy.

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